← Distorted Reflections Store Championship
Fire SuitedTier 1
at Distorted Reflections Store Championship
decks
2
(18.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
17
13-4-0
overall winrate
76.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
66.1%
avg ELO +6.3 per match
expected value
61.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
58.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1453
· median 1453
· range 1357–1548
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1108
Q1 1306
Q3 1362
1548
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Rile | 36.4% | 7 | 5-2-0 | 71.4% | 63.6% | 62.4% | +6.2 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 18.2% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 56.2% | +5.9 |
| Fire Aggro | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 9.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.6% | +12.1 |
| Fire Exia | 9.1% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 58.1% | +6.1 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 9.1% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 63.6% | +13.1 |
| Fire Suzaku | 9.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.1% | -12.7 |
| Water Genbu | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Arcane | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Ciel | 9.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.4% | +8.6 |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Fire Suited decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
